Wednesday 22 August 2012

Empirical evidence is that 80-90% of the claims made by epidemiologists are false ...

Definitely an interesting read! 

http://www.niss.org/sites/default/files/Young_Safety_June_2008.pdf

The basic thesis is quite simple. Epidemiologists have as their statistical 
analysis/scientific method paradigm not to correct for any multiple testing. Also, as 
part of their scientific paradigm they ask multiple, often hundreds to thousands, of 
questions of the same data set. Their position is that it is better to miss nothing real 
than to control the number of false claims they make. The Statisticians paradigm is 
to control the probability of making a false claim. We have a clash of paradigms.
Empirical evidence is that 80-90% of the claims made by epidemiologists are false; 
these claims do not replicate when retested under rigorous conditions.

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